Deviation form modelled value, violent crime

Deviation from the model-calculated value for reported violent crimes.

The deviation is graded as follows:

• Fewer than = 2

• Equal to = 1

• More than = 0

The model calculation is based on various structural factors in the municipality. The model result is compared with the indicator showing reported violent crimes. The data has been retrieved from the Swedish National Council for Crime Prevention’s (Brå) official crime statistics and reflects crime based on offenses reported to and processed by the police, customs, prosecutors, courts, and correctional services. Crimes that are not reported are therefore not included in the crime statistics.

Crimes that occurred earlier but were reported during the reference year are included in the statistics, as well as crimes reported in Sweden but committed abroad. To a lesser extent, reported incidents that later turn out not to be crimes are also included. The category of violent crimes includes murder, manslaughter, infanticide, assault with and without fatal outcome, rape including aggravated rape, aggravated violation of integrity, aggravated violation of a woman’s integrity, violence against an officer, as well as robbery including aggravated robbery.

The number of reported crimes has then been adjusted with population data from Statistics Sweden (SCB) for each municipality. Three-year average (year T-2 to year T).

Data retrieved from  Kolada. The source is MSB – Myndigheten för samhällsskydd och beredskap.