The Distribution Future Energy Scenarios (DFES) provides forecasts of the uptake of Low Carbon Technologies (LCTs), changes to peak demand, and changes to installed Distributed Generation (DG) and storage. The forecasts are in the form of a scenario range out to 2050, covering changes to our distribution networks (i.e. 132kV and below) as a result of GB’s transition to Net Zero Forecasts.
There are four credible future scenarios covering a range of uncertainties, including differing levels of consumer ambition, policy support, economic growth and technology development.
This DFES table provides the forecast numbers of heat pumps, EVs, and residential EVs only, aggregated to local authority level.
Reports and methodology documents can be found in the DFES section of our website: Distribution Future Energy Scenarios - SP Energy Networks
For additional information on column definitions, please click on the Dataset schema link below.
Download dataset metadata (JSON)
If you wish to provide feedback at a dataset or row level, please click on the “Feedback” tab above.
Data Triage:
As part of our commitment to enhancing the transparency, and accessibility of the data we share, we publish the results of our Data Triage process.
Our Data Triage documentation includes our Risk Assessments; detailing any controls we have implemented to prevent exposure of sensitive information. Click here to access the Data Triage documentation for the Distribution Future Energy Scenarios dataset.
To access our full suite of Data Triage documentation, visit the SP Energy Networks Data & Information page.
SPM DFES LCT Totals by Local Authority